AMSC 699 Assignments, Spring 2002
(27 February version)
Each student will be assigned to give a one hour talk on one of the articles
listed below.
At most one student will be assigned to each article.
The list is still incomplete.
Assigned Papers
- E.N. Lorenz;
A study of the predictability
of a 28-variable model,
Tellus 17 (1965), 321-333.
Assigned to Joe Skufca for February 20 (Kalnay).
- R. Camassa, D.D. Holm and C.D. Levermore;
Long-Time Effects of Bottom Topography
in Shallow Water,
Physica D 98 (1996), 258-286.
Assigned to Cory Hauck for March 13 (Levermore).
- C.D. Levermore and M. Sammartino;
A Shallow Water Model with Eddy Viscosity for
Basins with Varying Bottom Topography,
Nonlinearity (to appear 2002).
Assigned to Ning Jiang for March 20 (Levermore).
- H.F. Creveling, J.F. de Paz, J.Y. Baladi,
and R.J. Schoenhals;
Stability Characteristics of a Single-Phase
Free Convection Loop,
J. Fluid Mech. 67 (1975), 65-84.
Assigned to Chris Danforth for April 3.
- C. Shuman and C. Stearns;
Decadal-Length Composite Inland West Antarctic
Temperature Records,
J. Climate 14 (2001),1977-1988.
Assigned to Bernard Dillard for April 10 (Patil).
- A. Trevisan and F. Pancotti;
Periodic orbits, Lyapunov vectors, and
singular vectors in the Lorenz system,
J. Atmos. Sci. 55 (1998), 390-398.
Assigned to Joe McMahon for April 17 (Szunyogh).
- C. Pires, R. Vautard, and 0. Talagrand;
On extending the limits of variational
assimilation in chaotic systems,
Tellus 48A (1996), 96-121.
Assigned to Tomo Iida for April 24 (Szunyogh).
Unassigned Papers
- Papers on singular vectors
- R. Lacarra and O. Talagrand;
Short-range evolution of small perturbations
in a barotropic model
Tellus 40A (1988), 81-95.
- T.N. Palmer, R. Gelaro, J. Barkmeijer and R. Buizza;
Singular vectors, metrics and
adaptive observations,
J. Atmos. Sci. 55 (1998), 633-653.
- F. Molteni and T.N. Palmer;
Predictability and finite time instability
of the northern winter circulation,
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 119 (1993), 269-298.
- J. Barkmeijer, M. van Gijzen, and F. Boutier;
Singular vectors and the analysis error
covariance metric,
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 124 (1998), 1695-1713.
- M. Ehrendorfer and J.J. Tribbia;
Optimal prediction of forecast error covariances
through singular vectors,
J. Atmos. Sci. 54 (1997), 286-313.
- Papers on bred vectors:
- Z. Toth and E. Kalnay;
Ensemble forecasting at NMC: the
generation of perturbations,
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 74 (1993), 2317-2330.
- I. Szunyogh, E. Kalnay, and Z. Toth.
A comparison of Lyapunov vectors and
optimal vectors in a low resolution GCM,
Tellus 49A (1997), 200-227.
- Z. Toth and E. Kalnay;
Ensemble Forecasting at NCEP:
the breeding method,
Monthly Weath. Rev. 125 (1997), 3297-3318.
- More papers on predictability and data assimilation:
- Trevisan, A., and R. Legnani;
Transient error growth and local predictability:
a study in the Lorenz system,
Tellus 47A (1995), 103-117.
- K. Swanson, R. Vautard, and C. Pires;
Four-dimensional assimilation and predictability
in a quasi-geostrophic model,
Tellus 50A (1998), 369-390.
- D.P. Dee and A.M. daSilva;
Data assimilation in the presence of
forecast bias,
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 124 (1998), 269-295.
- P.J. van Leeuwen;
An ensemble smoother with error estimates,
Monthly Weath. Rev. 129 (2001), 709-728.
- M. Ehrendorfer;
Predicting the uncertainty of numerical weather
forecasts: a review,
Meteorol. Zeitschrift, N.F. 6 (1997), 147-183.
- C.E. Leith;
Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts,
Monthly Weath. Rev. 102 (1974), 409-418.
- E.S. Epstein;
Stochastic-dynamic prediction,
Tellus 21 (1969), 739-759.
- Papers on local low dimensionality:
- D.J.S. Patil, B.R. Hunt, E. Kalnay, J.A. Yorke, and E. Ott;
Local Low Dimensionality of Atmospheric Dynamics,
Phys. Rev. Lett. 86 (2001), 5878-5880.
- Papers on ocean circulation and its simulation:
- J.R. Luyten, J. Pedlosky, and H. Stommel;
The ventilated thermocline,
J. Physical Oceanography 13(2) (1983), 292-309.
- F.F. Jin, J.D. Neelin, and M. Ghil;
El Nino / Southern Oscillation and the annual cycle:
subharmonic frequency-locking and aperiodicity,
Physica D 98 (1996), 442-465.
- Z. Sirkes and E. Tziperman;
Identifying a damped oscillatory thermohaline mode in a
general circulation model using an adjoint model,
J. Physical Oceanography 31(8) (2001), 2297-2306.
- E. Tziperman;
Inherently unstable climate behaviour due to weak
thermohaline ocean circulation,
Nature 386 (1997), 592-595.
- J.A. Carton, X. Cao, B.S. Giese, and A.M. daSilva;
Decadal and interannual SST variability
in the tropical Atlantic Ocean,
J. Physical Oceanography 26 (1996), 1165-1175.
- L.T. Smith, E.P. Chassignet, and R. Beck;
The impact of lateral boundary conditions and
horizontal resolution on North Atlantic water mass
transformations and pathways in an isopycnic
coordinate ocean model,
J. Physical Oceanography 30(1) (2000), 137-159.
- Papers on shallow water and other models:
- J.C. McWilliams and P.R. Gent;
Intermediate models of planetary circulations in the
atmosphere and oceans,
J. Atmos. Sci. 37 (1980), 1657-1278.
- J.S. Allen and P.A. Newberger;
On intermediate models for stratified flow,
J. Physical Oceanography 23 (1993), 2462-2486.
- Papers on radiation transport through a random medium
(like a cloudy atmosphere):
- C.D. Levermore, F. Malvagi and G.C. Pomraning;
Asymptotic Limits of a Statistical
Transport Description,
Trans. Th. & Stat. Phys. 18 (1989), 287-311.